Alberta Politics: “21 per cent of all respondents were undecided.”

2013 poll + with undecideds

21% of Albertans, according to a Leger poll, are undecided as to who they would support in an election.

So who is going to convert these 1 in 5 Albertans?

It’s not the Wildrose. They’re a known quantity, for good or ill. Nor will it be the Progressive Conservatives, racked by scandal and ebbing in the polls — and who are also a well known group.

That leaves the Liberals. Or something else.

Convert those 21% to the Liberals and they form a ready alternative to the government.

Add in the extreme difference in what was spent by the campaigns and, if the Liberals had that same money spent by others, the jump in seats and support could be a serious game changer in Albertan politics. In the last election the Liberal central campaign spent slightly over $150,000 for five seats — where the NDP spent almost a million dollars for less seats. The PCs spent $4.6 million in the election, with the Wildrose spending little over $3 million. Imagine, for a moment, that the same funds spent by the Wildrose were spent by the Alberta Liberals, converting those undecided votes to their candidates.

The Liberals are a quiet, sleeping, and unseen beast in Alberta politics. Beaten and bruised, the Liberals in Alberta can see their base level of support — 10% of the electorate — and wont go below that. Tap that base, gather support from across the province, and gather that undecided 21% and therein lies the making of a game changer in Albertan politics.

4 Responses to Alberta Politics: “21 per cent of all respondents were undecided.”

  • You said ‘not the Wildrose because they’re a known quantity (?)’
    However, the Wildrose isa relatively new party. The Alberta Liberals have been around a long time, long enough to be well known, yet they never make an impact.
    I think that many of those ‘undecided’ are hovering between Wildrose and Conservative, so don’t count on them becoming Liberals en masse.

    • @Tom: Doubtful. The Wildrose were shown last election to the electorate through the eyes of their “hell fire” candidates, and were shut out of urban Calgary and Edmonton for it. Liberals in Calgary have more seats than the Wildrose.

      And with their actions in the legislature, of a vicious attacking nature, what Albertans have seen are even more reinforced. They’re a known quantity now. There’s nothing new about the Wildrose.

  • The STUNNING arrogance of assuming all undecided voters will vote one way is one of the big reasons the Liberals have wandered in the political wilderness for 92 years.

    I vote for the “or something else” option. Old parties don’t cut it anymore. Alberta Party anyone?

    • @92: Wait a moment. When I wrote this blog post I made it very clear that it would take an effort to gather that 1/5 Albertans — to woo those voters — and I made it clear that there’s a possible opportunity here. I don’t think the Liberals are entitled to anything, and especially are not entitled to your vote. A vote is an earned thing and a thing that takes work and dedication.

      But I guess it would suit your perspective to see every Liberal as arrogant. Feel free to feel that I’m arrogant. In the end it wont change anything.

      Secondly, you mention that the Liberals have been in the wilderness for 92 years. That is factually incorrect. In the early to late 90s the Liberals were able to win seats that challenged the government at the time. In the 1993 election the Liberals won 32 seats. Until recently the Liberals were the official opposition. To say that the Liberals have been wandering in the wilderness for 92 years is down right factually incorrect.

      Thirdly, I doubt a party that has no policy, no seats, no money, and no leader is a serious contender. I have not been shown otherwise that the Alberta Party is something serious. Daveberta, one of the Alberta Party’s biggest cheerleaders, has said the Alberta Party is thoroughly irrelevant.

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